ArmInfo. Even the authorities' attempt to provoke unarmed demonstrators to violence in the end will not have any meaning in case of awareness of the movement, understanding of the situation. Manvel Sargsyan, director of the Armenian Center for National and Strategic Studies, expressed his opinion to ArmInfo.
"Such movements are quietly going through repressions, imprisonment and even executions, why? Because in the end, all this works for the movement, in its favor, of course, if it is correctly delivered. Therefore, it is very important to point out the problem correctly, which in the case of the current movement, I do not see," he stressed.
According to the analyst, as a rule, such movements begin with a clearly formulated ultimatum. After that it is necessary to look already to whom it is addressed and, of course, to the reaction of the addressees. However, the current protest movement in Armenia of such an ultimatum, intending to make an unemployed person from the street the prime minister, did not put the 60-70 people in the deputy corps.
Meanwhile, according to Sargsyan's conviction, it will be precisely those concrete people who call themselves MPs who should be addressed, written on paper, with the requirement not to turn Serzh Sargsyan into a prime minister. And this requirement should detail the responsibility of each particular deputy in case of voting "for" Sargsyan before the nation.
In this light, the analyst considers targeting, concretization of requirements as a pledge of struggle for success, since it is precisely the precise targeting of requirements that is the root, the essence of such a struggle. Such a fight, according to his estimates, always begins with a very specific charge and with an ultimatum to him or him. Then the struggle goes on, after which those who were presented with an ultimatum, as a rule, surrender.
"I can not say why this classic scenario is not realized in Armenia, maybe it is not realized, maybe people do not fully understand its importance, whereas the whole world has long been acting precisely by such methods." For example, the Chileans cracked down on Augusto Pinochet, and the Poles with Wojciech Jaruzelski," the analyst summed up.