Arminfo.info




 Monday, June 12 2017 16:36
David Stepanyan

Alexander Tsinker: Trump’s  team  hints upcoming renaissance of Big Mid East Project

Alexander Tsinker: Trump’s  team  hints upcoming renaissance of Big Mid East Project

.Alexander Tsinker, the law maker of the Israeli Knesset of the 15th convocation, the president of ICES - the International Expert Center of Electoral Systems, on the margins of his interview to ArmInfo comments on the latest developments at Middle East region, particularly in respect to Iran and Qatar, speaks about roles of Russia  and  United States in the processes mentioned, about Israeli  position and interest  regarded to Middle East Issues. Shares an opinion on prospective of Karabakh settlement, as well as about Israeli-Azerbaijani  cooperation.

 

 

Looking at the latest developments at Middle East region, it looks like within Donald Trump related scandals, US ruling power got to the implementation of newest political embracement, with unprecedented scale. Does that assume such processes will lead to radical changes not only at Middle East, but also in South Caucasus and Central Asia?

During his first foreign visit to Saudi Arabia, the US President Trump came up with a speech in presence of more than 50 Muslim leaders, where he told about his view of USA-Muslim world relations. With that he factually refused from Obama's policy, who in his historical speech in Cairo promised democratization of Arab states which will change to the best the life of Arabs and all the mankind. The new conceptual direction of foreign policy of USA in Middle East must be the struggle between good and evil, the struggle against extremist ideology and terrorism, and the provision of security and stability in Middle East. Trump’s administration, perhaps, hints resuming its grand project "Big Middle East" the project of redesign of the political map of Eastern Mediterranean to Hindustan and from Minor Asia to Red sea. However, yet it is early to speak about the intentions of new presidential team, it is not 2003, and the situation in the world has changed a lot. USA cannot be considered as a sole global pole. Proceeding of this fact, the implementation of new transregional projects will dep[end on how it will be agreed with regional players, such as Russia, Chine, EU etc.

  

Does the destabilization of internal situation in Iran proceed from Israeli interests, or  Jerusalem is anyway interested to restrict  back ISIS activities zone expansion to neighbor countries?

Israel is interested in annihilation of all the terrorist organizations an units, which are of a real danger for peaceful existence of one and only democratic state in the Middle East region. Today those are Hezbollah, ISIS and Hamas, as well as small terrorist groups acting at the territories of Syria, Lebanon and Egypt.  But we should not forget about Iran, which is a country claiming loudly the annihilation of Israel and funding the majority of terrorist and extremist units in our region.  It is pretty probable that within the purpose to justify Tehran’s aid and under the consideration of Qatar crisis, Hamas could implement a provocation of  new  armed conflict with Israel. I think if Iran does not stand back of supporting terror, will not become a partner for peaceful existence of all the nations and ethnic groups in our region, it will become an outsider country for the majority of Middle East states.

 

  

Up to you, is there any connection between terrorist attacks in Iran, boycott of Qatar by a number of Arabic countries, regional policies of Israel and Mid East positions of USA and Russia?

Everything is mutually connected in our region, and the matter is how strong is the reasons-consequences chain between US, Russia and Israel positions and the developments mentioned. In my opinion, diplomatic boycott of Qatar by western countries is a demonstrative punishment for relations with Iran and the presence of Hamas leaders. US President Donald Trump with one hand pushed Sunnite countries of region to the boycott, and with the other tried to resolve the Qatar crisis, clearly remembering that one of biggest US military bases is located in Qatar. Another side of the coin is that Iranian special services succeeded with preventing such attacks by now. We have to know yet is this attack a single one or it will be an ongoing process.

 

Recently Matthew Bryza, the US Secretary of State Assistant for South Caucasus, voiced the necessity of international cooperation improvement in the aspect of Karabakh conflict up to the level of US and Russia Presidents. Prior to this, Karabakh has been multiply voiced as a feasible platform for Moscow and Washington interaction. Do you expect any rise of Russian-American cooperation on Karabakh, and what options and prospective do you see?

  The restored military actions of April 2016 between Azerbaijan and Armenia, once again showed the need to speedy settlement of the conflict, which lasts for decades. Not enough active role of the OSCE MG on Karabakh problem and the criticism of it’s work, formed an opinion among some politicians that a beak on this issue is possible only in case of Trump's and Putin's involvement. One should not also forget that the current concept of the foreign policy of USA is in the state of formation and it is very possible that the solution of the problem will not be a priority for Trump's team. In this case, a noteworthy increase of Russia's role in the settlement of the conflict may be forecasted as well. . 

 

 

Are the Israeli benefits in Azerbaijan restricted and limited with economic cooperation, particularly in respect o the export of military products? Or Israeli interest in Azerbaijan has geopolitical basis, being preconditioned by the neighborhood with Iran as well?

 Relations between Azerbaijan and Israel have its complicated specifics. Despite the fact that the diplomatic relations were established back in 1992, Azerbaijan still refrains from opening of an embassy in Israel. Considering the extremely negative reaction of Iran, no head of state or government of Azerbaijan has paid any visit to Israel. It is not a secret that Israel's interest is in developing interstate relations with the countries of the Greater Middle East, primarily with the states of the region, whose population, for the most part, preaches Islam. To such countries in the South Caucasus, according to his estimates, Turkey and Azerbaijan primarily concern. Interests of Israel in cooperation with Azerbaijan can be considered in three directions: political, economic and community. In particular, the political leadership of Israel is interested in business cooperation with Muslim countries bordering the main enemy of Israel - Iran. Azerbaijan is one of major suppliers to oil to Israel, and the volume of purchases form the 5th share of the Israel's demands. In turn, Israel, as a well-known world developer and exporter of military equipment, delivers its products to Azerbaijan. In addition, it should be remembered that in Azerbaijan, since the 5th century, there lived a large community of Mountain Jews, which in time was enriched by Ashkenazi Jews and a small group of Georgian Jews. Most of the Jewish community of Azerbaijan repatriated to Israel at the end of the last century, which only broadens the possibilities of people's diplomacy between the two ethnic groups.

 

 

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Azerbaijan`s actions on Stepanakert-Goris highway another provocation  - Artak BeglaryanAzerbaijan`s actions on Stepanakert-Goris highway another provocation  - Artak Beglaryan
Azerbaijan`s actions aimed at intimidating Artsakh population - Arman  Tatoyan Azerbaijan`s actions aimed at intimidating Artsakh population - Arman  Tatoyan 
120,000 residents of Artsakh under complete blockade - Gegham  Stepanyan120,000 residents of Artsakh under complete blockade - Gegham  Stepanyan
Spanish MP visits Armenia`s Jermuk Spanish MP visits Armenia`s Jermuk 
Artsakh will not be a part of Azerbaijan - Nagorno-Karabakh foreign  office Artsakh will not be a part of Azerbaijan - Nagorno-Karabakh foreign  office 
U.S. committed to ensuring peaceful future in South Caucasus region -  Philip ReekerU.S. committed to ensuring peaceful future in South Caucasus region -  Philip Reeker
Russian Ambassador: There can be no sustainable peace without just  settlement of conflictRussian Ambassador: There can be no sustainable peace without just  settlement of conflict
Russian Ambassador: CSTO does not seek expansion by putting pressure  on its membersRussian Ambassador: CSTO does not seek expansion by putting pressure  on its members
Armenian FM holds separate meetings with his counterparts from  Slovakia, SloveniaArmenian FM holds separate meetings with his counterparts from  Slovakia, Slovenia
FMs of Armenia, Portugal are considering possibilities of establishing business relations between  two countries FMs of Armenia, Portugal are considering possibilities of establishing business relations between  two countries 
Oppositionist: Parliaments of France and Artsakh make statements,  while National Assembly of Armenia refuses to discuss a similar  documentOppositionist: Parliaments of France and Artsakh make statements,  while National Assembly of Armenia refuses to discuss a similar  document
Pashinyan, Reeker discuss formation of international mechanism for  negotiations between Stepanakert and BakuPashinyan, Reeker discuss formation of international mechanism for  negotiations between Stepanakert and Baku
Suren Papikyan refuses to comment on possible purchase of weapons  from IndiaSuren Papikyan refuses to comment on possible purchase of weapons  from India
Armenian FM briefs OSCE Secretary General on fragile security  situation in regionArmenian FM briefs OSCE Secretary General on fragile security  situation in region
Armenia`s National Assembly  discusses draft statement in response  to Azerbaijani parliament`s statementArmenia`s National Assembly  discusses draft statement in response  to Azerbaijani parliament`s statement
Armenian FM: Targeted and principled assessments of intl. community  can contribute to establishment of stability in South CaucasusArmenian FM: Targeted and principled assessments of intl. community  can contribute to establishment of stability in South Caucasus
In the current conditions, international presence on the ground and a  clear attitude towards aggression and the aggressor state are as  important as never before - MirzoyanIn the current conditions, international presence on the ground and a  clear attitude towards aggression and the aggressor state are as  important as never before - Mirzoyan
AMD 4․653․223 to AMD 4․653․223 to "Aren Mehrabyan" foundation: beneficiary of "The Power of One Dram" for December is the Health Fund for Children of Armenia
Borrell, Mirzoyan discuss ways to advance on regional peace building Borrell, Mirzoyan discuss ways to advance on regional peace building 
The President of Turkmenistan received the minister of energy of the Islamic Republic of IranThe President of Turkmenistan received the minister of energy of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Armenian FM presents situation in South Caucasus to his counterparts  from Estonia, Lithuania, Switzerland and Greece Armenian FM presents situation in South Caucasus to his counterparts  from Estonia, Lithuania, Switzerland and Greece 
Foreign Ministry provides details of meeting of representatives of  Armenia, Turkey on borderForeign Ministry provides details of meeting of representatives of  Armenia, Turkey on border
U.S. Embassy in Armenia welcomes Ambassador Philip Reeker to YerevanU.S. Embassy in Armenia welcomes Ambassador Philip Reeker to Yerevan
Lavrov: Alma-Ata Declaration envisages Nagorno-Karabakh as part of  AzerbaijanLavrov: Alma-Ata Declaration envisages Nagorno-Karabakh as part of  Azerbaijan
BeechCraft 95 private plane that crashed in Armenia was on  Yerevan-Astrakhan routeBeechCraft 95 private plane that crashed in Armenia was on  Yerevan-Astrakhan route
Paris: Resolution on assistance to Armenia does not reflect the  official position of FranceParis: Resolution on assistance to Armenia does not reflect the  official position of France
Armenian, Czech FMs discuss South CaucasusArmenian, Czech FMs discuss South Caucasus
Ardshinbank holds a campaign 10000 AMD for every 300th client making a money transferArdshinbank holds a campaign 10000 AMD for every 300th client making a money transfer
Director of Law and Justice Center briefs Australian officials on  Azerbaijani aggressionDirector of Law and Justice Center briefs Australian officials on  Azerbaijani aggression
Armenian NA speaker welcomes French Senate`s resolution in support of  ArmeniaArmenian NA speaker welcomes French Senate`s resolution in support of  Armenia
"Without accountability, there isn`t justice"  - Bob Menendez
Azerbaijan continues ceasefire violations Azerbaijan continues ceasefire violations 
French National Assembly unanimously adopts resolution calling for  sanctions against AzerbaijanFrench National Assembly unanimously adopts resolution calling for  sanctions against Azerbaijan
Ambassador: Chile unequivocally stands for the principle of conflict  resolution without the use of forceAmbassador: Chile unequivocally stands for the principle of conflict  resolution without the use of force
NA MP presents to French Ambassador situation resulted from  Azerbaijani aggression NA MP presents to French Ambassador situation resulted from  Azerbaijani aggression 
MP: MP: "Civil Contract" to take part in extraordinary meeting of NA,  initiated by opposition
Parliamentary form of government in Armenia to be retainedParliamentary form of government in Armenia to be retained
Actual directions for the development of Turkmen-Korean cooperation determinedActual directions for the development of Turkmen-Korean cooperation determined
Ameria PhonePOS.  New application for receiving non-cash payments with a smartphoneAmeria PhonePOS.  New application for receiving non-cash payments with a smartphone
Artsakh Defense Army refutes another misinformation of Azerbaijani  sideArtsakh Defense Army refutes another misinformation of Azerbaijani  side
Armenia and Artsakh attacked five times since end of 44-day war - MPArmenia and Artsakh attacked five times since end of 44-day war - MP
Azerbaijan continues ceasefire violations Azerbaijan continues ceasefire violations 
Centrist Democrat International issues statement on situation in  Armenia Centrist Democrat International issues statement on situation in  Armenia 
Armenia, Germany agree to more intensively develop high-level  political dialogueArmenia, Germany agree to more intensively develop high-level  political dialogue
Russian peacekeepers record violation of ceasefire by Azerbaijani  armed forces in Shushi regionRussian peacekeepers record violation of ceasefire by Azerbaijani  armed forces in Shushi region
MoD: Armenian serviceman was injured by enemy gun fireMoD: Armenian serviceman was injured by enemy gun fire
There are media reports saying that Brussels has not given up on idea  of organizing meeting between leaders of Armenia, AzerbaijanThere are media reports saying that Brussels has not given up on idea  of organizing meeting between leaders of Armenia, Azerbaijan
Poll: To counter Azerbaijani aggression, it is necessary to arm and  fight backPoll: To counter Azerbaijani aggression, it is necessary to arm and  fight back
Poll: Armenia is against granting the population of Artsakh the  status of an ethnic minority within AzerbaijanPoll: Armenia is against granting the population of Artsakh the  status of an ethnic minority within Azerbaijan
Poll: About half of the country`s respondents do not support any  political force in ArmeniaPoll: About half of the country`s respondents do not support any  political force in Armenia
Poll: Armenian citizens still rely on Russia, but are disappointed in  CSTOPoll: Armenian citizens still rely on Russia, but are disappointed in  CSTO
Reborn Armenia party ceases its activity in ParliamentReborn Armenia party ceases its activity in Parliament
Armenia needs to Armenia needs to "distance itself from dependence" on Russia without  seceding from CSTO
Valerie Boyer once again warns international community against  turning blind eye to Azerbaijan`s aggression against ArmeniaValerie Boyer once again warns international community against  turning blind eye to Azerbaijan`s aggression against Armenia
Armenian Security Council Secretary holds meetings in Paris Armenian Security Council Secretary holds meetings in Paris 
ANCA calls for close Senate scrutiny of next U.S. ambassador to  ArmeniaANCA calls for close Senate scrutiny of next U.S. ambassador to  Armenia
Azerbaijan continues ceasefire violations Azerbaijan continues ceasefire violations 
 Ardshinbank is the exclusive sponsor of Vladimir Spivakov`s charity concert Ardshinbank is the exclusive sponsor of Vladimir Spivakov`s charity concert
Artsakh President convenes working consultation Artsakh President convenes working consultation 
Mirzoyan: Azerbaijan responded to Armenia`s proposals on a peace  treaty only yesterdayMirzoyan: Azerbaijan responded to Armenia`s proposals on a peace  treaty only yesterday
Read more



Commented