Arminfo.info



 Monday, April 29 2013

Safaryan Ashot

Mikayel Hayrapetyan: The West cannot change power in Armenia yet

 


Mr. Hayrapetyan, how do you assess
the ongoing processes in Armenia? What domestic political changes do you see
after the presidential election?   


 


All the political processes
developing in Armenia today are like a performance, the stage directors of
which must not be looked for among the Armenian politicians or parties. All of
them without exception are stooges in the hands of Russia, first of all. Of
course, the West also pursues its aims, but the share of its interests in
Armenia is not big. Just Russia easily rules the leadership of Armenia as well
as the opposition. And I see no sign of self-respect in the behavior of our
political forces.


 


But many experts, including Russian
ones, criticize the Kremlin for its wrong foreign policy that resulted in
cession of positions in the post-Soviet area…  
 


 


I partly share this opinion. We
remember that the West gained victory over the USSR in the "cold
war". As a contribution, Moscow gradually "ceded" Western
Europe, then Baltic countries. Then "orange revolutions" happened in
Ukraine and Georgia. Similar departure took place in the South Caucasus as
well. Russian subdivisions were first removed from Azerbaijan, except Gabala
radar station. By the way, for withdrawal of the Russian troops Baku paid by
losing Nagornyy Karabakh and respective territories. Later Russian units were
also removed from Georgia, as a result of which Tbilisi lost Abkhazia and South
Ossetia. The five-day war and occupation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia and
timorous mediation of the West, in fact, meant that the West seems to be
inclined to recognize South Caucasus an area of Moscow's privileged interests.
In its flexibility the West has come to the situation when pro-Russian Bidzina
Ivanishvili was chosen as a political opponent of pro-Western Mikheil
Saakashvili. These and other similar serious developments show that at present
these is no disagreement between the West and Russia in our region.


 


How would you explain the West’s
flexible position with respect to Moscow?
 


 


I think that the developments in the
Middle East and the growth of the ideas of radical Islam are the reason of a
little bit retreat of the West against Moscow's interests. Russia has a mission
of blunting the Islam attack at Christian civilization. Despite being a
"prodigal son" for Europe, nevertheless, Russia is a part of Europe
and Christian civilization. Russia has a mission of a frontier guard of
civilization both in the South Caucasus and the Far East.


 


Let’s return to Armenia…


 


As regards Armenia, it has always
been under the influence of Russia. Therefore, any reform of the political
system of Armenia will be cosmetic. Armenia has no leader with a political
dignity ready to launch a challenge against Moscow's hegemony. Stemming from
the above mentioned, I don't think that the present status quo in the political
system of Armenia will be changed in the near future. Armenia cannot differ
from its "metropole". The whole body running a fever, I mean, the
corrupted Russia, cannot have a separate healthy part. If Armenia is Russia's
outpost, only cosmetic transformations may happen here, at best. It is
impossible to change the situation now. I cannot say how long it will last.
Much depends on the situation in the region, as well as on the forthcoming
presidential election in Georgia. The election will show whether the West’s
retreat is temporary or it has decided to cede the South Caucasus to Russia for
a long period.   


 


What about the Armenia-EU
Association Agreement negotiations? Are they also only an instrument for
cosmetic changes or serious processes aimed at gaining long-tern results? 


 


One should first of all take into
account that those negotiations are being held by the authorities of Armenia,
who are the henchmen of Moscow. Does the European Union realize that? Yes, of
course. The EU cannot deploy the NATO troops in Armenia.  So, the EU has nothing to do but fight
against oligarchy by such measures as, for instance, the entry of the French
Retailer Carrefour in the Armenian market. However, Carrefour's case is so far
shy efforts of the West to change the status-quo and it cannot bring any
significant changes. If Russia forces Armenia to join the Eurasian Union, the
authorities will hardly have the courage to resist and to make the right
geopolitical choice to protect the national interests. Much depends on the
West's flexibility, on whether it will make Armenia set tougher conditions to
Moscow or it will try to limit its demands seeing Armenia's despair.


 


But the West is very closely
cooperating with the “henchmen” of Moscow – the authorities of Armenia.
Moreover, the West hurried to congratulate President Serzh Sargsyan on his
re-election whereas it could support Raffi Hovannisian.


 


The West cannot change power in
Armenia at present. It can just express its attitude towards various processes.
We remember that in 2008 the U.S. President Barack Obama did not congratulate
Serzh Sargsyan and the leaders of European countries congratulated him rather
late and did it through the mid-level diplomats and officials. This time the
situation was different. Unfortunately, Serzh Sargsyan won the election. I do not know where the votes were rigged but
one thing is obvious – this time the authorities were able to persuade the West
that the presidential election was fair and transparent. This was what the West
expected. It did not want to completely cede the region that it is keeping with
the help of Russia.


 


By Ashot Safaryan


29 April 2013. ArmInfo 


 


 

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

Armenian, Ukrainian foreign offices hold political consultations Armenian, Ukrainian foreign offices hold political consultations 
NA special session fails for lack of quorum NA special session fails for lack of quorum 
Final round of Tigran Petrosyan chess tournament takes place at  Tbilisi Chess PalaceFinal round of Tigran Petrosyan chess tournament takes place at  Tbilisi Chess Palace
U.S. Department of States presents position on Armenia`s possible  withdrawal from CSTOU.S. Department of States presents position on Armenia`s possible  withdrawal from CSTO
All arrested participants in All arrested participants in "Tavush for Motherland" movement ready  to continue struggle for power change in Armenia
Austria of key importance for Armenia - MPAustria of key importance for Armenia - MP
Armenian FM meets with EU ambassadors to ArmeniaArmenian FM meets with EU ambassadors to Armenia
Swiss forum highlights priority of `national egoism` - Sergey  Markedonov. Swiss forum highlights priority of `national egoism` - Sergey  Markedonov. 
Referendum on land swap possible - Nikol Pashinyan  Referendum on land swap possible - Nikol Pashinyan  
Statement: words of hatred propagated by Armenian authorities against  people of Artsakh are highly reprehensibleStatement: words of hatred propagated by Armenian authorities against  people of Artsakh are highly reprehensible
Vahan Kerobyan: I will certainly achieve acquittal for myself and all  the other defendants whom the law enforcement system forced to repentVahan Kerobyan: I will certainly achieve acquittal for myself and all  the other defendants whom the law enforcement system forced to repent
Pashinyan himself is first to blame for prisoners of war in Baku  prisons - oppositionistPashinyan himself is first to blame for prisoners of war in Baku  prisons - oppositionist
Investigative Committee: 8 people who took part in mass riots on June  12 have been taken into custodyInvestigative Committee: 8 people who took part in mass riots on June  12 have been taken into custody
Mother Armenia Movement: Government repressions against people prove  that Armenia is among worst dictatorshipsMother Armenia Movement: Government repressions against people prove  that Armenia is among worst dictatorships
Parliament Speaker signs decision to hold RA NA extraordinary session Parliament Speaker signs decision to hold RA NA extraordinary session 
U.S.-Armenia Local Democracy Forum kicks off in YerevanU.S.-Armenia Local Democracy Forum kicks off in Yerevan
Premature to discuss US military bases popping up in Armenia -  Russian intel chiefPremature to discuss US military bases popping up in Armenia -  Russian intel chief
IDBank issues the 3rd tranche of dollar bonds of 2024IDBank issues the 3rd tranche of dollar bonds of 2024
Armenia`s NA to hold hearing on referendum on country`s accession to  EUArmenia`s NA to hold hearing on referendum on country`s accession to  EU
Lemkin Institute, Amnesty International condemn violence by Armenian  law enforcement officers against peaceful protestersLemkin Institute, Amnesty International condemn violence by Armenian  law enforcement officers against peaceful protesters
French PM presents Legion of Honor to Rene LevonianFrench PM presents Legion of Honor to Rene Levonian
Armenia did not sign final declaration of summit on UkraineArmenia did not sign final declaration of summit on Ukraine
EventHub.am is the official ticketing agent for the concert of the world renowned Black Eyed Peas in TbilisiEventHub.am is the official ticketing agent for the concert of the world renowned Black Eyed Peas in Tbilisi
Meeting of the Head of the MFA of Turkmenistan with the Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council of the Russian FederationMeeting of the Head of the MFA of Turkmenistan with the Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation
Mayor of Stepanakert was placed under house arrest for two monthsMayor of Stepanakert was placed under house arrest for two months
Azerbaijani authorities torture Ruben Vardanyan - int`l legal team  raises alarmAzerbaijani authorities torture Ruben Vardanyan - int`l legal team  raises alarm
US Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources to visit  YerevanUS Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources to visit  Yerevan
Human Rights Defender: any manifestations of hate speech should be  excluded from public speechesHuman Rights Defender: any manifestations of hate speech should be  excluded from public speeches
Azerbaijan continues to spread disinformation about situation on  frontlineAzerbaijan continues to spread disinformation about situation on  frontline
Medvedev urges Armenia Medvedev urges Armenia "not to get its hopes up" regarding EU  membership: "This is just bait in neocolonialist mousetrap"
Shahramanyan:  people of Artsakh endured not two hours, as Pashinyan  said, but 32 yearsShahramanyan:  people of Artsakh endured not two hours, as Pashinyan  said, but 32 years
Zakharova to political leadership of Armenia: one can continue verbal  games endlesslyZakharova to political leadership of Armenia: one can continue verbal  games endlessly
NA factions: Pashinyan and parliamentary majority serving him must  resign immediatelyNA factions: Pashinyan and parliamentary majority serving him must  resign immediately
Russian-Armenian relations have always been built on equality, mutual  consideration of interests, and understanding of complexity of  situation in region - ZakharovaRussian-Armenian relations have always been built on equality, mutual  consideration of interests, and understanding of complexity of  situation in region - Zakharova
New opportunities for development of Iranian studies at YSUNew opportunities for development of Iranian studies at YSU
Karen Andreasyan assures: There are no political prisoners in ArmeniaKaren Andreasyan assures: There are no political prisoners in Armenia
Artashes Geghamyan: Armenian authorities are provoking civil war in  countryArtashes Geghamyan: Armenian authorities are provoking civil war in  country
Heritage Party calls for Pashinyan`s resignationHeritage Party calls for Pashinyan`s resignation
MFA: Belarus is not going to worsen relations with Armenia, but will  recall its ambassador from Yerevan for consultationsMFA: Belarus is not going to worsen relations with Armenia, but will  recall its ambassador from Yerevan for consultations
Armenia officially joins NASA`s Artemis AgreementArmenia officially joins NASA`s Artemis Agreement
Belarusian Ambassador advises Pashinyan to understand situation  before making harsh statements about MinskBelarusian Ambassador advises Pashinyan to understand situation  before making harsh statements about Minsk
Over 3,000 new teachers in Armenia`s education system Over 3,000 new teachers in Armenia`s education system 
Kremlin: Russia will continue working with Armenia to clarify  Yerevan`s position on CSTOKremlin: Russia will continue working with Armenia to clarify  Yerevan`s position on CSTO
Artsakh InfoCenter: Government circles of Armenia are spreading  theses about reasons for dearmenization of Artsakh that have nothing  to do with realityArtsakh InfoCenter: Government circles of Armenia are spreading  theses about reasons for dearmenization of Artsakh that have nothing  to do with reality
Shpakovsky: Minsk takes Pashinyan`s impulsive statements calmlyShpakovsky: Minsk takes Pashinyan`s impulsive statements calmly
Armenia`s premier is lying - expertArmenia`s premier is lying - expert
Clerical-feudal elite of Armenia misled people in order to seize and  retain power - Nikol Pashinyan Clerical-feudal elite of Armenia misled people in order to seize and  retain power - Nikol Pashinyan 
RF State Duma assesses Armenia`s decision on withdrawal from CSTORF State Duma assesses Armenia`s decision on withdrawal from CSTO
Clerical-feudal elite unable to change power in Armenia - premier Clerical-feudal elite unable to change power in Armenia - premier 
Armenia`s premier to refrain from visiting Belarus `as long as  Alexander Lukashenko is president there` Armenia`s premier to refrain from visiting Belarus `as long as  Alexander Lukashenko is president there` 
Armenia-EU Partnership Committee holds 5th meeting under CEPAArmenia-EU Partnership Committee holds 5th meeting under CEPA
No government in people`s interests - clergyman No government in people`s interests - clergyman 
Armenia`s Human Rights Defender, U.S. official discuss refugees`  rights Armenia`s Human Rights Defender, U.S. official discuss refugees`  rights 
102 people injured in Yerevan`s Baghramyan Avenue 102 people injured in Yerevan`s Baghramyan Avenue 
Police violence against protesters by authorities` order - Arman  TatoyanPolice violence against protesters by authorities` order - Arman  Tatoyan
Armenia`s MOD refutes Azerbaijan`s disinformationArmenia`s MOD refutes Azerbaijan`s disinformation
Provokers must be punished - premier Provokers must be punished - premier 
Armenia`s ex-minister of culture calls on cultural workers to stand  between protesters and policeArmenia`s ex-minister of culture calls on cultural workers to stand  between protesters and police
Armenia recalls ambassador to Belarus for consultations Armenia recalls ambassador to Belarus for consultations 
RA MFA: Armenia intends to actively cooperate with partners to  restore stability and peace in EuropeRA MFA: Armenia intends to actively cooperate with partners to  restore stability and peace in Europe