Forecast: Processes in the South Caucasus expect a new stage of  geopolitical activity

ArmInfo.With the help and pushing from Turkey, Azerbaijan today continues to obviously strengthen its military potential, cooperating with all possible arms  suppliers. Such an opinion was expressed to Arminfo by the Head of  the Working Group of the Caucasus and Central Asia Institute of  Oriental Studies, Alexander Skakov.

"In addition to the internal beneficiaries of increasing  militarization of Azerbaijan, another important factor in favor of  such an inflation of the country with arms, beyond doubt, is  geopolitics. Azerbaijan, again, with the support of Turkey, today  seeks to strengthen its own role in the region. And, judging by the  latest impulses, In Baku, they believe that various programs can be  imposed on their neighbors. What is said absolutely open, "he said.

The very fact of the lack of a peaceful contract between the parties  to the conflict in the conditions of the presence of only a statement  of truce, according to the race, is already a threat. Taking into  account the prospects for the emergence of new contradictions around  the implementation of paragraphs of the air conditioning, this threat  acquires an additional force and value. And even against the  background of guaranteeing the safety of Armenia by Russia, the  internal situation in Armenia gives the country even more  vulnerability.

Noting the role of Russia as a guarantor of the safety of Armenia as  a deterrent, the Russian expert, nevertheless, emphasized the  presence of threats in the light of the complete unpredictability of  further scenarios of the situation. Even more complicates the  situation, in his opinion, the lack of negotiations between Armenia  and Azerbaijan. While trilateral negotiations involving Russia,  according to the race, are not too effective.

Meanwhile, the processes in the region of the South Caucasus,  according to the expert estimates, are already included in the new  stage of geopolitical activity. And the new US administration,  according to his forecasts, will very soon give these processes  additional revs. Against this background, stability and world require  the signing of a final peace treaty and one truce, in his opinion,  there is no longer enough.

"It is clear that in Armenia and now the Russian military has been  posted in Nagorno-Karabakh. This new status quo around Karabakh  differs straight from the previous one. And, nevertheless, Armenia  needs to think seriously over strengthening its own security. And  first of all about overcoming The internal political crisis. This  requires a situation that exists and periodically emerging challenges  and threats and life itself, "the Russian expert summed up.