ArmInfo. As of today, one can state the presence in Armenia of a certain number of supporters of the republic's turn towards the West. The whole question is in their ability to turn public opinion in the appropriate direction. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by Viktor Nadein-Raevsky, a senior researcher at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences, a Turkologist.
"The West is very much aware of all this as well. Moreover, this understanding of the current situation leads to certain steps by the same American establishment towards Armenia. And at first glance one might really get the impression that the same recognition by US President Joe Biden of the well-known fact of the Armenian Genocide is a step aimed exclusively at restoring historical justice, "he said.
In reality, according to the expert, one of the real goals of such an American policy is to strengthen the position of the United States in Armenia, of course, at the expense and through the weakening of Russian influence. According to him, having officially characterized the massacres of Armenians at the beginning of the 20th century in the Ottoman Empire as genocide, the American president proceeds solely from the interests of American foreign policy and, as such, his own benefit.
As for the reaction to such steps by Washington in the Armenian society itself, the ability of pro-Western leaders in Armenia to turn public opinion, respectively, the electorate in the direction of the collective West, at least at this stage, is doubted by Nadein-Raevsky.
"We understand very well that the United States is not even going to send its army to defend Armenia from the same Turkey, if something happens. This is the prerogative of the 102nd Russian base in Gyumri. But in any case, the steps taken by the Biden administration are prompting Moscow to take reverse steps towards preserving its own role, achieved following the end of last year's war in Karabakh. Any mistake by Russia can lead to the loss of this role under pressure and the dictation of the United States, "he said.
The expert examines the current two-day visit of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to Armenia through the prism of the ongoing struggle for influence in the South Caucasus with the participation of both the United States and Russia and other regional players with interests in the region. According to Nadein- Raevsky, all this is part of big politics, including, carried out within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group, which, according to his estimates, allows already to influence the trilateral negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan with the participation of Russia.