ArmInfo. It is possible that the July meeting between Russian and US Presidents Putin and Trump brought more harm to Russian-American relations than good.
ArmInfo.In 2018, Russia will continue the course aimed at equipping the Eurasian space. The head of the Council for Foreign and Defense Policy of Russia, director for scientific work of the Valdai Club, Fyodor Lukyanov, expressed his opinion to ArmInfo.
ArmInfo. In certain circumstances, a local armed conflict in Afrin is able to spread to all the territories of Syria inhabited by Kurds.
ArmInfo. The mines dropped on the position of the Defense Army of Artsakh, point to a real customer of strikes against Russian bases in Syria. A similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo Deputy Director of the Institute of CIS countries, security expert Vladimir Yevseyev. On January 20, the Artsakh Defense Ministry reported on two strikes inflicted on Saturday by two Azeri unmanned aerial vehicles on the positions of the Republic's Defense Army. According to the Artsakh military, mortar mine and artisanal explosives were dropped on Artsakh positions. As a result of both attacks, the Defense Army did not incur losses. "The homemade UAVs used by the Azerbaijani Armed Forces to attack the Artsakh positions are very much like the UAVs used by the militants to attack Russian bases in Syria. It has already become clear that the UAVs used against our military in Syria were designed in accordance with the Turkish order. , it was the Turkish special services that transferred Baku, used before against the Russian military in Syria, the design and technique of strikes, "the expert believes. Evseev believes that, in view of the very low efficiency of using such UAVs in Artsakh, bombing with the help of such handicraft designs is aimed at achieving an exclusively psychological effect. On the night of the sixth of January, the militants launched an attack on the Russian bases of Khmeimim and Tartus in Syria on drone attacks. Seven UAVs were shot down by the Pantsir-S missile systems. Six more were intercepted by electronic warfare units, who managed to land them in a safe place. A detailed analysis of the experts of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation of surviving UAVs showed that the drones contained exceptionally accurate targets data that can not be obtained from open sources. The study of ammunition confirmed the fact of preparing an attack with the participation of outside experts.
ArmInfo. The danger of the transfer of contradictions from other regions to the Caucasus will persist, and as a result, require special attention, and in 2018. A similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo famous Russian analyst Sergei Markedonov. "The Karabakh settlement is the most dangerous point of the South Caucasus in 2018, which is currently the only platform on which the West and Russia interact, the unwillingness of the opposing sides to compromise, the unwillingness of the mediating countries to view Karabakh as a problem for which they could neglect their own contradictions , leaves geopolitical uncertainty for the South Caucasus relevant, "the analyst believes. The forthcoming presidential elections and internal political changes in Armenia and Azerbaijan in 2018 are considered by Markedonov in the context of lowering the already low chances for the way of political elites of the conflicting countries towards mutual concessions and compromises. That is why the analyst explains the intensification of the negotiation process in the last months of 2017. According to him, accompanied by imprudent statements and promises, the election campaign is dangerous with the ability to provoke violations on the contact line in Karabakh and, most riskily, along the actual Armenian-Azerbaijani state border. "Given the lack of effective prescriptions to prevent this scenario, it remains to hope only for the refusal of the elites to rock the geopolitical pendulum because of their unwillingness to aggravate the internal political situation in the election year." There are hopes for the activity of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chair countries, "he said. Markedonov is convinced that there is no guarantee that Washington will not use Caucasian plots as an additional resource of pressure on Moscow. According to him, any buildup of military cooperation between the US and Georgia is quite capable of changing the existing status quo around Georgia, which is relatively stable, especially in comparison with Karabakh. "In this light, it seems that many of the risks and surprises for the Caucasus in 2018 are hidden not so much in intra-regional dynamics as in external factors, especially in the light of the complete unpredictability of US relations with Russia and Iran," Markedonov concluded.
ArmInfo. Ankara's decision to acquire the latest Russian S-400 air defense systems is proof of Turkey's slow drift from NATO. Anatoly Tsyganok, director of the Military Forecasting Center of the Institute for Political and Military Analysis (Moscow), expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.
ArmInfo. Azerbaijan will not be allowed to unleash another war around Karabakh with substantially reduced financial resources and Turkey. Anatoly Tsyganok, director of the Military Forecasting Center of the Institute for Political and Military Analysis (Moscow), expressed this opinion to ArmInfo. "The agreement on the ceasefire from 1994 as a whole will be observed not least because of a significant reduction in the financial revenues of Azerbaijan.I can say that the purchase of new types of weapons, in contrast to past years, has already become a significant problem for Baku," he said. According to the report of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), only in 2015 Baku allocated 18% for military articles - up to $ 5 billion of all budget allocations. More than 85% of weapons Azerbaijan continues to import from Russia. According to unofficial data, during the years of Azerbaijan's independence, Moscow supplied weapons worth $ 12 billion to the country-participant of the Karabakh conflict. As a second factor in curbing the militancy of Baku regime, the military expert points out the lack of interest in the new Karabakh aggravation of Turkey. In this issue, according to his estimates, Ankara's position is consonant with the position of its temporary, but an ally in the person of Moscow. "Russia and Turkey will not want to spoil relations over Karabakh, it is unprofitable for the Kremlin or Ankara, these two countries will not simply allow Baku to initiate new military actions, which is why it is not necessary to predict the repetition of the April 2016 provocation in the near future. Despite periodic escalations on the line of contact, the ceasefire agreement will continue to be observed, in general, "the Tsyganok summed up. The OSCE Minsk Group has been dealing with the settlement of the Karabakh conflict since 1992, represented by the co-chairs from Russia, the United States and France. Currently, the settlement process is based on the Madrid Principles put forward by the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs in 2007 and the updated Madrid Principles in 2009, including, among other things, the deployment of a peacekeeping contingent in the conflict zone.
ArmInfo. There are enough stupid experts both in Russia and Armenia, Alexander Skakov, Researcher of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, political expert expressed such an opinion to ArmInfo.
ArmInfo. The conceptual approach to resolving the Israeli- Palestinian problems, in my opinion, is to attract other Middle Eastern Arab countries. Such an opinion was expressed by ArmInfo member of the Israeli Knesset of the 15th convocation, President of ICES - International Expert Center of Electoral Systems Alexander Tsinker.
ArmInfo. The absence of representatives of Armenia at the "Jerusalem" vote of the UN General Assembly would be a manifestation of independence in the relations of Armenia with Israel, such an opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by the member of the Israeli Knesset of the 15th convocation, President of ICES - International Expert Center of Electoral Systems Alexander Tsinker.