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 Saturday, April 18 2015 04:44

Степанян Դավիթ Stepanyan Ստեփանյան David Давид

Ashot Manucharyan: Russia Does Not Need Parliamentary Armenia

Ashot Manucharyan: Russia Does Not Need Parliamentary Armenia

Until now the authorities have been quite successful in putting their foes out of their way to Constitution redrawing. Names of the presidents’ possible successors have been mentioned recently. Has anything changed?

 It has. These manipulations, directed at redrawing the Constitution, speak for the authorities’ cunning that is aimed at staying in power. However, they are doing it on the lowest level ever possible. If we try and observe the situation at a higher level, we will definitely notice a geopolitical context as well. I believe the Russians have also noticed the context. The U.S., UK and other powerful states will find it quite simple to rule and manipulate a parliamentary Armenia. Moreover, such a system will not be that clear to the Russian one - more direct, less sophisticated, “taking the first steps” in this harsh world. Switching of points from one person to a group of people who are capable of expressing different opinions and establishing a dialogue with everyone is not in the interests of Moscow.

Meaning, Russia does not need parliamentary Armenia…

It definitely does not, especially given its equal participation with China in the geopolitical battle for restructuring the world order. I believe, this stance has been recently explained to the Armenian president in a straight-talk – this explains his absence during the meeting of EEU member-countries’ leaders in Astana. “Those three people did not even bother to keep their colleague’s front going. They made a final communiqué on behalf of the “threes” but not the whole EEU. This was followed by Sargsyan’s interview during which he stated that “the problem has not yet been solved and various arguments are being considered”.  There have always been arguments, but our president has just remembered about them.

That is to say we witnessed the same as on September 3, 2013, when Serzh Sargsyan decided to give up on his 3-year-long journey and decided on Armenia's accession into the EEU?

 Of course, back then he and his palace guard to get power and money from the West. They changed the vector as soon as they were instilled they would lose their heads before getting any money or power. Today everything is even more entangled. Moscow has laid down harsh demands on Yerevan to provide the Armenian Republic's independence of any aspect that had ruled the country - deoffshorization, state employees renouncing Western banking accounts, everything that links the elite to the West. This way Moscow tries to deprive the West of any leverage against Armenia. Unlike Sargsyan, who is strongly related to the West, the Russians are already acting that way. This has been clearly explained to him. The president of Armenia is his own number one enemy, after him comes the rotten situation in Armenia.  It is impossible to resolve that situation by busting up the Prosperous Armenia Party or putting Zhirair Sefilian behind bars. We need better and deeper decisions.  First of all it is to be made out if he is the boss of the Republicans or a man who was born to Armenian parents and fought in Karabakh. Sargsyan should halt on his pork-outing way and deal with the situation for it bears the threat of destroying him quite soon.

 Yes, if not “parliamentarianism” then what? Seyran Ohanyan as a president?

 Under the conditions of impossible parliamentarianism, “successor” operation, incredibly tensed domestic policy and external pressure, the establishment of the so-called government of national confidence will be the only make-shift for Serzh Sargsyan and his followers.   In the current situation when various political parties are aspiring to seize the power in the country given that their programmes match with 90%, under the conditions of a complete mess, Armenia is to establish a government comprising people who enjoy the national trust, but never party-members. The reason is quite unsophisticated – there are hardly any party-members left who enjoy the national trust. At the same time hardly anyone would disagree to have Abel Aghabekyan leading the Armenian economic policy. I do believe such a scenario will be soon inflicted upon the authorities by tough domestic and external circumstances. However, they might just be commanded to “grab Vanka and appoint him”. The modern world does not lack such tools. In this case one can and should rely on his country only. 

In your opinion, do the authorities’ actions towards the recognition of the Armenian Genocide – particularly, the April 24 events – meet the challenges the Armenian statehood is facing?

 To begin with, the Armenian society has nothing to do with these actions - the government class only is obsessed by the events and they are the claimants upon the main cake's slice.  The society's response to it is quite accurate. Point is that these accurate responses drown in the charivari of the media, which is under the control of the same ruling media. Point is that 100 years ago we lost our native land and our compatriots. We lost compatriots who accepted Islam, changed their surnames to survive. According to Washington's estimation, there are 8-10 million such Armenians living in Turkey.  Most of these people are ready to re-embrace their roots. Some 4 years ago the Americans were trying to drag to light Yerevan's attitude towards the "Islamic Republic of Armenia" that was proclaimed on the territory of Western Armenia.  Can you see that this is a part of the aim of bringing the "Armenian Cause" on the international agenda so the external powers would develop it? Besides losing the native land and compatriots the Armenians also lost the right to being called as an entity - the Armenian nation, though living on the territory of three different empires. Today most Armenian families seriously discuss if it is worth it to restore that very entity that can bring us to an absolutely new level of development?

Does the PanArmenian declaration somehow reflect these issues?

 It does reflect yet rather shallowly while now they are to be reflected quite specifically. April 24 2015 is to become the day all the Armenians are to stand as one nation despite living in various countries. What our authorities are planning to do on April 24 does not serve the interests of the Armenian nation, but the interests of certain external powers that are interested in Armenia's genocide-recognition appeal addressed to Turkey. Meanwhile, the Armenians should have stopped long before being just decor for other geopolitical interests.

I agree, yet the Armenian society is incredibly indifferent even towards the economic noose that is gradually tightening around our country, not speaking of such global issues…

 

For the past 25 our society has been in a constant struggle for justice. We are not the only ones. Either civilized officials like the Lithuanian president or grabbers who rule Armenia set the current world order. Our nation is better at realizing this than other ones. This realization is enough for us to climb out of a pit we’ve been forced into. We should not rely on the inactive political field – the only thing they do is go cap in Serzh Sargsyan’s hand hoping to get seats in coming parliament so they could taste some crumbs of the national cake. There is nothing shameful about being a thief; it is a shame to be an idiot. In 2007 Russian embassy promised almost the same to the Armenian pro-Russian political elite. After they individually participated in the elections, the corrupt Russian officials flushed them down the toilet.        

 

Why go that far? As lately as a month ago they were silently watching the “prosperous” ones being flushed down the toilet…

 

This is definitely perfect analogy. The dead are showing signs of life hoping that Serzh Azatich will resurrect them and provide them with 2018 parliamentary seats. Watching these haggles is hilarious. As for Moscow’s response to Gagik Tsarukyan’s case, I think the Russians now understand who is who. Point is there is nothing pro-Russian about the Armenian political elite; they gradually start realizing they have to find a way of speaking to the Armenian nation. Putin’s decision to arrive in Yerevan on April 24 and conduct lessons regarding the Armenian Genocide at Russian schools is one of those steps. That is why Moscow has decided not to interfere and let Sargsyan politically terminate Tsarukyan.                       

In the first 3 months of 2015 the Armenian Armed Forces have lost 26 soldiers. In 2014 – 40, in 2013 – 29. Every time the Armenian Defence Ministry blames Baku for this. Don’t you think it is past time to speak about our responsibility for the soldiers who died by the enemies hand? What political measures can be taken to stroke Aliyev jr. down?

 

The situation remains within the logic of legalizing genocides as a tool for solving geopolitical problems. Gallipoli celebrations are a good example of replacing the Commemoration day of the Armenian Genocide victims by the fraternization of WWI former enemies. We have already witnessed the fraternization of WWII enemies in Normandy. Thus, by putting the Armenian Genocide into the cold storages of history it will be possible to set up ISISes, commit new genocides, invade Iraq, Syria, and annihilate whomever the way one pleases. The sabotage attacks on the Armenian-Azeri border are a part of this logic. They serve to this logic. The Karabakh conflict had been employed as a tool for the settlement of various questions. Thus, in 1993 Heydar Aliev and I made a plan on the peaceful settlement of the conflict.  The Azerbaijani and Georgian confederation and then the establishment of confederate South Caucasus was the substance of that plan.  Providing clearer, the Caucasian problems were to be solved by means of integration. Nevertheless, taking into account that the plans were made without the participation of the USA, Washington suggested Baku and Yerevan renouncing the idea and promised to establish peace in the region. As soon as the Armenian administration halted the process, by playing fast and loose with Azerbaijan, Aliyev was expecting the OSCE Minsk Group's results. He did not wait long and had to resume the military actions which resulted in the death of almost 10.000 Armenians and Azerbaijani. Washington's peace-support-mission caused the heaviest losses in the region. This has been followed by the 1994 ceasefire which has been constantly violated during 20 years and resulted in new victims on both sides.

 

This was in the past. Are there such ways nowadays?

Definitely, there were times when Armenia was adequate enough and we realized that neighborhood with hostile Azerbaijan was nonsense. Meanwhile, now we are deprived of our own will and thoughts just like Georgia, Azerbaijan, etc. Even if we fully occupy Azerbaijan we cannot move these people to the Moon. Therefore, peace is the only solution. By saying peace I do not mean the drivel we are offered in the form of Madrid principles and so on. I mean conceptually different approaches, definitely, based on the international law. Here is an example – former Azerbaijani SSR citizens –refugees from Baku and other regions of Azerbaijan - have the right to settle the territories that Serzh Sargsyan (following Robert Kocharyan's example) calls a "security belt".  Even Israel is not allowed to set up such a belt, not speaking of Karabakh. Meanwhile, the UN funds projects directed at the settlement of Armenian refugees in Yerevan, Moscow, everywhere, except for the territories they can claim in accordance with the international law.  Moreover, International Crisis Group has developed racist guidelines, which Armenia follows up today and prohibits refugees from Azerbaijan to live on their own territories.  Under this and other suchlike racist documents, both Armenian refugees from Baku and Lachin refugees who have fled from Lachin are forbidden to take up residence in that territory! This is done for one reason only - the territory is to be in Aliyev's sight as a source of tension and peg the state of war. Since 1988 almost 700.000 indigenous inhabitants have been exiled from Azerbaijan: Armenians, Assyrians, Talysh and, of course, Azeri.  Only these people can stipulate their possible existence on the territories in one form or another. This sounds abstract until it is spoken about. This is just one of the political ways of solving the Karabakh problem.

What about military measures on forcing the foe to establish peace?

There are military countermeasures against Baku’s policy – anti-sabotage groups that will destroy Azeri raiders. Nevertheless, I believe we should firstly destroy the main raiders – the gas and oil pipe lines of the region for this is what links the murders of soldiers to world’s leaders. By exploding the pipe lines we can stop the machine that murders both Armenian and Azeri soldiers.

 

Do you believe our administration can “digest” such actions? 

 

You see, Armenia used to have bodies which did not get along with the government – Dashnaktsutyun, ASALA, etc. ISIS, for example, does not get along with the States which are quite flexible…I can assure you if we manage to work with ISIS the way the States do, the Islamic State will be the one to explode Azerbaijani pipe lines. It is our problem what we will learn and how. This is a hybrid war system which is a tool used in the global control of the world.  

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