ArmInfo. In the coming years, the talks on Karabakh will be interspersed with incidents and efforts of the international community against the backdrop of a lack of political means, predicts the Director of the Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan.
Speaking at a conference organized by the Caucasus Institute with the financial assistance of the British Conflict, Stability and Security Foundation, "The Prospects for a Peaceful Settlement of the Nagorno- Karabakh Conflict: Local and International Perspectives," the political scientist expressed his conviction that the talks on the conflict settlement are ineffective in the absence of a stable ceasefire.
"After April 2016, the co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group prioritize the normalization of the situation, but in spite of the utter disagreement of the sides on a number of issues, no real steps have been taken, as a result of which the conflict has been superseded by its administration. anti-Armenian rhetoric on the part of official Baku, the Armenian president and head of the Armenian Foreign Ministry voice their readiness to continue negotiations, "he stressed.
Iskandaryan characterized Baku's policy as deeply thought out and effective. According to him, it consists in the forceful pressure of Azerbaijan on the Armenian sides of the conflict, remaining within the negotiation process. In his opinion, Baku is able to draw attention to the conflict and have some leverage of influence exclusively by such methods.
According to Iskandaryan's forecasts, to expect a change in the situation and the existing balance of forces after the April 2016 war, at least in the next few years is not worthwhile, because there are no objective reasons for this. As a result, the talks on Karabakh will not be effective, especially in the absence of a stable ceasefire and measures to prevent violations.