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 Thursday, October 19 2017 14:21
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Serzh Sargsyan`s return to the post of Prime Minister  practically is inevitable

Forecast: Serzh Sargsyan`s return to the post of Prime Minister  practically is inevitable

ArmInfo. The return of Serzh Sargsyan to the Prime Minister`s post is almost inevitable, the founder of Armenian Institute of International Affairs and Security  Styopa Safaryan expressed such opinion. 

"Even if this does not happen in Sargsyan's presidential term in  April 2018, it will inevitably happen afterwards, although it should  be acknowledged that the scenario, voiced in the media, according to  which Sargsyan will take the post of prime minister in April, and  Karen Karapetyan his deputy seems most likely,"the analyst stressed.

According to the injection Zhamanak , Serzh Sargsyan and Karen  Karapetyan came to a consensus on the personnel reshuffles scheduled  for April 2018 after the expiration of the presidential term. In  particular, the president doubted the ability of Karapetyan to  conduct negotiations on Karabakh "because of the lack of a sufficient  degree of political sabotage." In this regard, Karapetyan was offered  to take up the post of vice- premier in April 2018, in charge of  which will be the financial-economic and social blocks of the  government. Sargsyan also intends to oversee political and security  issues as a Prime Minister.

Noting that Sargsyan's deputies on the party leadership have already  stated that he does not intend to leave the political game, but Karen  Karapetyan has not yet managed to create his own political support,  Safaryan said that in this context, he sees the future of the  incumbent president in the prime minister's chair.

The analyst recalled that in the games for power, the opposition is  virtually non-existent, and they go exclusively inside the  government, which allows Serzh Sargsyan to solve the issue of the  future Prime Minister almost individually.  

Safaryan believes that even if the opposition manages to somehow  consolidate in opposition to the authorities, it will be done solely  for the purpose of bidding with the Sargsyan camp. However, according  to his forecasts, even in this case, the incumbent president will not  go to the bargaining with the opposition, since the ARFD in the  government, "Prosperous Armenia" is not in government, but votes in  parliament hand in hand with the Republicans, "Yelk" is extremely  weak, and the existence The extra-parliamentary opposition is  nominal.

In this regard, according to his estimates, theoretically, only force  majeure can come to Sargsyan's premiership. However, the analyst does  not see any internal prerequisites, as well as those external to  force majeure, believing that, for example, the loyalty of Russia to  Sargsyan has already been obtained by transferring practically all  Yerevan's foreign policy functions to Moscow. 

Related articles
Newspaper: The President and the Prime Minister came to an agreement:  Sargsyan will head the Cabinet in 2018 - Karapetyan will become his  deputy
 Thursday, October 19 2017 12:13

ArmInfo.The President and the Prime Minister of Armenia came to a consensus on personnel reshuffle, which should occur in April 2018, when the term of office  of President Serzh Sargsyan expires, the Zhamanak newspaper reports with reference to informed sources.

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