ArmInfo. Another escalation of Karabakh conflict could raise due to the wrong estimation and evaluation of the real situation at the contact line and in geo policy in general. Such an opinion was voiced to journalists by Richard Giragosian, the Director of the Center for Regional Studies (Yerevan).
" I estimate the probability of large combat actions in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict zone as not very high, even taking into attention the absence of attempts to prevent any aggressive actions of Baku. However, the April War became an affective tool to switch off Azerbaijani nationals attention of all the internal social and economic problems. On the other hand, Baku is absolutely disappointed with the results of that war and that is why could think about the renewal of the April scenario," the expert mentioned.
Giragosian mentioned also the availability of two factors that could cut the implementation of military- oriented plans of Azerbaijani authorities. Among those is the combat readiness of Armenian and NKR Defense armies for the possible attack of Azerbaijan., and the fact of these armies being equipped and trained better and having better armaments. In this respect the expert thinks that new combat actions will have larger scales and will lead to larges troubles.
"At that, Armenian actions in the April war had very restricted character, and many options were not used, for example, for example Iskander. In this respect, Baku should think twice while planning another aggression," Giragosian summarized"